Pathways to Prosperity

Where you are born or live in Nigeria should not determine the opportunities available to you—or how far you can go.

A decision-support dashboard that maps the structural barriers to upward mobility — across all 36 states, the FCT, and sampled Local Government Areas — so planners can move from insight to action.

How mobility is defined

Three dimensions that must move together

Each metric in the dashboard is anchored to one or more of these mutually reinforcing dimensions of upward mobility.

01

Economic Success

Rising income and assets, and protection from catastrophic shocks — health costs, funerals, flood damage — that can erase years of progress overnight.

02

Power & Autonomy

Control over one’s own life and household — the ability to decide when to seek care, to access land tenure, and to influence the decisions that shape one’s future.

03

Dignity & Belonging

The respect that comes from contributing to family, work, and community — recognised, included, and able to participate in local decisions without fear or exclusion.

The framework

Five pillars of support — and the predictors that signal them

Adapted from the Urban Institute and the US Partnership on Mobility from Poverty, the pillars work as a system. The dashboard tracks observable predictors that planners can influence in the short to medium term.

Pillar 1

Opportunity-Rich & Inclusive Neighbourhoods


  • Rent Burden
  • Overcrowding
  • Enterprise
  • Social Capital
  • Transportation Share

Pillar 2

High-Quality Education


  • Preschool Access
  • Completion & Literacy Outcome
  • Preparedness for Higher Education
  • ICT Access

Pillar 3

Rewarding Work


  • Employment Opportunities
  • Jobs Paying Living Wages
  • Opportunities for Income

Pillar 4

Healthy Environment & Access to Good Healthcare


  • Access to Healthcare
  • Neonatal Mortality Rate

Pillar 5

Responsive & Just Governance


  • Civic Participation

Pillar 1

Opportunity-Rich & Inclusive Neighbourhoods


  • Rent Burden
  • Overcrowding
  • Enterprise
  • Social Capital
  • Transportation Share

Pillar 2

High-Quality Education


  • Preschool Access
  • Completion & Literacy Outcome
  • Preparedness for Higher Education
  • ICT Access

Pillar 3

Rewarding Work


  • Employment Opportunities
  • Jobs Paying Living Wages
  • Opportunities for Income

Pillar 4

Healthy Environment & Access to Good Healthcare


  • Access to Healthcare
  • Neonatal Mortality Rate

Pillar 5

Responsive & Just Governance


  • Civic Participation

About the dashboard

From complex mobility data to actionable intelligence

The dashboard translates nationally representative survey data into a snapshot of conditions for any area of interest — to be used alongside, not in place of, community knowledge and local expertise.

Coverage


15

metrics at State & FCT level. A full picture across all 36 states and the Federal Capital Territory.


13

metrics at LGA level, for Local Government Areas sampled in the GHS-Panel, including FCT Area Councils.


Where LGA-level data is unavailable due to survey attrition, small sample sizes, or conflict-affected inaccessibility, state-level data can serve as a proxy, and vice versa.

How to use it


  1. Understand baseline mobility conditions in any area of interest.
  2. Contextualise local conditions within state, regional, or national trends.
  3. Identify priority predictors that need targeted intervention.
  4. Mobilise partners, resources, and advocacy around the evidence.
  5. Monitor progress over time as conditions and policies change.

Data Currency


The Dashboard currently draws on two primary data sources:

  • Nigeria General Household Survey-Panel, Wave 5 (GHS-Panel W5) — National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), 2023/2024
  • Nigeria Demographic and Health Survey 2024 (NDHS 2024) — Federal Ministry of Health and Social Welfare, National Population Commission, and ICF (2025)

Metrics are based on the most recently available nationally representative data. Because Nigeria’s structural conditions are subject to inflation shocks, climate variability, insecurity, and other volatility, metrics should be treated as indicators of prevailing conditions rather than stable long-term benchmarks. Progress should be monitored at regular intervals as new data becomes available.

EXPLORE

Opportunity & Mobility Dashboard

Choose a pillar and metric to view it across Nigeria. Switch between State and LGA views, and read the metric guide beneath each map.

Opportunity Rich & Inclusive Neighborhoods

Rent Burden

Loading map…
Not available

No LGA-level map for this metric

An LGA breakdown hasn't been published for this metric yet. Switch back to State to view the available map.

LET’S TALK

Contact us

Interested in research consultation, economic and policy insight for your organization? We’d love to help.

LET’S TALK

Contact us

Interested in research consultation, economic and policy insight for your organization? We’d love to help.